April 5 2012
The Friends of Israel Initiative has just published a new working paper addressing the coming round of negotiations with Iran "Delineating Western Goals during Nuclear Negotiations with Iran". We encourage you to have a look a it and disseminate before it is really too late.

UN Security Council Chamber in New York

In a couple of days a new round of talks with Iran about its nuclear program will start after a few years of no dialogue at all. For some the new Iranian openness represents an opportunity to convince the Iranian leaders to halt the military program. Iran is been hit by the sanctions an will be more so after July 1st when the oil embargo enters into effect. The regime, interested above all in is own survival, is divided and may decide that challenging the international community about is nuclear ambitions will become too costly. So, they say, Iran could be nowadays more flexible.

Could be. But with the experience of past negotiations, with the 3, the P5+1, the UN and even Brazil and Turkey, a note of cautions has to be made. Actually one can make the case that Iran has used all the talks just to buy time and make decisive advances in its nuclear program. Iranian leaders have resorted to delaying tactics, refused to cooperate, cheated systematically, and defied the international community. Furthermore, money can ask why now, when Iran is reaching the last stages before building an actual deliverable nuclear bomb, is it going to give up?

There are a few who believe Iran has not decided yet to have a bomb and so, it's leaders may stop now.
We believe, on the contrary, that Iran made the decision to have a bomb years ago though we don' know when it's leaders will take the decision to push forward their program and start the weaponization phase. Nobody puts together a very expensive Formula 1 team, and embark on a race just to test the painting of the car.

Talking may make right now a difference. But a negative one: it could give Iran the space needed to walk the last meters of its nuclear program, and get the bomb. Alarmed by an increased naïveté that may lead to never ending rounds of talks without any real progress, we would like to underline the need to recapitulate on the lessons learnt from previous, frustrating and frustrated talks. We cannot allow to enter into another game of delusion and deception. Time limits must be clearly set, specific requests should be advanced, and preconditions have to be delineated. We cannot talk while they are working in their bomb.

In the sense The Friends of Israel Initiative has just published a new working paper addressing the coming round of negotiations with Iran. We encourage you to have a look a it and disseminate before it is really too late.

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